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FXUS61 KCAR 281219 AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
819 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2017

SYNOPSIS...  A FRONT WILL STALL ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ON THE WEEKEND BRINGING A SUNNY AND DRY WEEKEND FOR MOST AREAS.

&&


.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 815 AM UPDATE... THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS THE LATEST OBS AND WEBCAMS SHOWING FOG LIFTING AND BURNING OFF. THE EXCEPTION IS RIGHT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AS FOG HANGING ON A BIT LONGER. LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWED COLD FRONT DOWN ALONG HANCOCK AND WASHINGTON COUNTY AND APPEARS TO HAVE SLOWED UP ITS FORWARD PROGRESS. THEREFORE, WILL CONTINUE THE MENTION OF FOG FOR THE COASTAL ZONES IN THE FORECAST FOR A FEW MORE HRS THIS MORNING. SATL IMAGERY SHOWED MOST OF THE CLOUDINESS ALONG THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CWA W/PARTIAL CLEARING ELSEWHERE W/DRIER AIR WORKING ITS WAY INTO THE REGION.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... ANY FOG EARLY THIS MORNING SHOULD BEGIN TO BURN OFF RATHER QUICKLY BY MID MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT LATE THIS MORNING WITH SKIES BECOMING PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY BY AFTERNOON. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT IN THE VICINITY OF THE DOWN EAST COAST TODAY AND COULDN'T RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER ALONG THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF THE STALLED OUT BOUNDARY.

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM 8 AM UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING TO HIGHLIGHT THE HIGH PADDLE RISK CONDITIONS ALONG THE DOWN EAST COAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE FAR NORTH AND MID 70S DOWN EAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE AREA FROM CENTRAL CANADA TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE REMAINS WELL TO OUR SOUTH. EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVERNIGHT. THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE COLDER VALLEYS OF FAR NORTHERN MAINE, WHERE A FEW LOWS IN THE MID 30S ARE POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE, LOWS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 40S ACROSS THE NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWN EAST.

&&


SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...     DRY, FAIR, AND RELATIVELY COOL CONDITIONS ARE XPCTD ON SAT AS SFC HI PRES FROM QB PREVAILS ACROSS THE RGN. LOW PRES TRACKING WELL S OF ME OFF THE MID ATLC COAST WILL BRING SOME HI CLDNSS TO DOWNEAST AREAS SAT INTO SAT EVE, BUT RNFL WILL REMAIN S OF OUR COASTAL WATERS.

ANY HI CLDNSS OVR DOWNEAST AREAS WILL CLR AWAY TO THE SE SAT NGT, AND AFTER ONE MORE COOL NGT, SUN WILL FEATURE MSLY SUNNY CONDITIONS AREA WIDE WITH A WRMNG TREND. FAIR AND MILDER OVRNGT CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW FOR SUN NGT.

&&


LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...     MON WILL BE WARM AND HUMID WITH LATE DAY AND EVE ISOLD TO SCT SHWRS AND TSTMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE N AS A WEAK SFC COLD FRONT AND S/WV ALF FROM QB CROSSES THE RGN. THIS FRONT WILL SETTLE AND DISSIPATE OVR DOWNEAST AREAS ON TUES AS MSLY FAIR, WARM, AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONT. AFT ANOTHER WARM AND HUMID DAY ON WED, ANOTHER STRONGER COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED S/WV ALF FROM CNTRL CAN COULD BRING A BETTER CHC OF WED LATE DAY/EVE SHWRS/TSTMS ACROSS THE N AND PERHAPS AGAIN ACROSS CNTRL AND DOWNEAST PTNS OF THE RGN ON THU AS THE FRONT STRUGGLES TO GET TO THE DOWNEAST COAST. HI TEMPS THU WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER ACROSS THE N BUT WILL LIKELY CONT WARM AND HUMID ACROSS CNTRL AND DOWNEAST AREAS.

&&


.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... NEAR TERM: WIDESPREAD FOG CAN BE EXPECTED TO AFFECT BANGOR INT'L AND BAR HARBOR AIRPORTS (KBGR/KBHB) EARLY THIS MORNING WITH CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BE AT OR BELOW AIRFIELD MINIMUMS THROUGH ABOUT 12Z WHEN VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO RETURN. PATCHY FOG AND CEILINGS 020-030 WILL AFFECT THE NORTHERN TERMINALS (KFVE/KCAR/KPQI/KHUL)THROUGH ABOUT 12Z WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR THEREAFTER. ALL TERMINALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VFR TONIGHT.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE XPCTD FOR ALL TAF SITES THRU THESE PTNS OF THE FCST.

&&



MARINE...  
   NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT. AREAS OF FOG THIS MORNING WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY ON THE WATERS TO 1 TO 3 NM THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: NO HDLNS XPCTD THRU THESE PTNS OF THE FCST. WENT WITH ABOUT 85 PERCENT OF WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR FCST WV HTS WITH PRIMARY SWELL WV PDS NEAR 10 SEC.

&&


CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...


ME...  BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR MEZ029- 030.
MARINE...  NONE.

&&


NEAR TERM...DUDA/HEWITT SHORT TERM...VJN LONG TERM...VJN AVIATION...  DUDA/HEWITT/VJN
MARINE...  DUDA/HEWITT/VJN
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