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FZNT01 KWBC 252137 HSFAT1


HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2230 UTC MON SEP 25 2017

CCODE/2:31:04:11:00/AOW+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

ATLANTIC ICEBERG ANALYSIS AND OUTLOOK PRODUCTS...COURTESY OF THE U.S. COAST GUARD INTERNATIONAL ICE PATROL...CAN BE FOUND ON THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.OPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/ATL_TAB.SHTML(LOWERCASE).

PAN PAN...


NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W


SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SEP 25
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 26
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SEP 27

.
WARNINGS



.FOR INFORMATION ON HURRICANE LEE SEE PART 2 BELOW.


... HURRICANE WARNING ... .HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 31.7N 73.1W 965 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 25 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 160 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE...420 NM NE QUADRANT AND 360 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 33.5N 73.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 160 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE...420 NM NE QUADRANT AND 360 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   TROPICAL STORM MARIA NEAR 35.3N 72.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIA NEAR 36.3N 69.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIA NEAR 38.8N 60.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIA NEAR 45.0N 45.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.


... STORM WARNING ... .LOW E OF AREA 61N32W 980 MB MOVING NW 20 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF A LINE FROM 62N35W TO 63N41W WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SW AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   LOW 62N47W 982 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E QUADRANT...420 NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND N OF A LINE FROM 65N40W TO 66N35W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   LOW 62N56W 996 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S QUADRANT AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.


... GALE WARNING ...
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   LOW 49N50W 997 MB. FROM 44N TO 51N BETWEEN 46W AND 61W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   LOW E OF AREA 49N30W 983 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS E OF A LINE FROM 52N50W TO 44N40W TO 38N40W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.


... GALE WARNING ...
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   NEW LOW 57N43W 991 MB. WITHIN 90 NM N...300 NM S AND 420 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 19 FT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
.

.EXCEPT WHERE NOTED WITH HURRICANE MARIA ABOVE FROM 31N TO 37N BETWEEN 64W AND 80W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   EXCEPT WHERE NOTED WITH HURRICANE MARIA ABOVE FROM 31N TO 39N BETWEEN 64W AND 79W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   EXCEPT WHERE NOTED WITH HURRICANE MARIA ABOVE FROM 31N TO 39N BETWEEN 65W AND 78W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT WHERE NOTED IN PART 2 BELOW WITH HURRICANE LEE FROM 31N TO 33N BETWEEN 48W AND 53W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   EXCEPT WHERE NOTED IN PART 2 BELOW WITH HURRICANE LEE FROM 31N TO 33N BETWEEN 51W AND 57W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   EXCEPT WHERE NOTED IN PART 2 BELOW WITH HURRICANE LEE FROM 31N TO 40N BETWEEN 52W AND 59W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.LOW E OF AREA 46N31W 1007 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 480 NM W QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS WELL E OF AREA.

.LOW 62N44W 992 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 420 NM NW AND 600 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 62N49W DESCRIBED IN WARNINGS SECTION ABOVE.

.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOSE 39N68W 1016 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOSE DISSIPATED.

.DENSE FOG.
24 HOUR FORECAST...   VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 43N TO 46N BETWEEN 56W AND 62W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   CONDITIONS IMPROVED.

.HIGH 46N59W 1019 MB MOVING E 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   HIGH DISSIPATED.

.HIGH 35N59W 1022 MB DRIFTING N.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   HIGH 37N59W 1021 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   LITTLE CHANGE.

.HIGH 40N48W 1020 MB MOVING SE 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   HIGH 37N41W 1021 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   HIGH 33N38W 1022 MB.

.

FORECASTER KOSIER. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO


SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 25.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 26.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 27.

.
WARNINGS



..
.ATLC...   HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 31.7N 73.1W 965 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 25 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 160 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 27N BETWEEN 66W AND 79W WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 27N BETWEEN 66W AND 77W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER
ATLC...   WATERS N OF 22N W OF 63W AND NE OF BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   HURRICANE MARIA NEAR 33.5N 73.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 160 NM W SEMICIRCLE. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 29N BETWEEN 66W AND 77W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 26N W OF 64W AND NE OF BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   TROPICAL STORM MARIA NEAR 35.3N 72.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 30N BETWEEN 68W AND 75W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 65W AND 78W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIA NEAR 36.3N 69.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIA NEAR 38.8N 60.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MARIA NEAR 45.0N 45.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

..
.ATLC...   HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE LEE NEAR 30.5N 50.6W 983 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 25 MOVING WSW OR 255 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 29N BETWEEN 48W AND 52W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 25N BETWEEN 43W AND 55W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   HURRICANE LEE NEAR 30.5N 53.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 51W AND 56W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS N OF 25N BETWEEN 50W AND 60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   HURRICANE LEE NEAR 31.8N 55.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 29N BETWEEN 52W AND 57W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS N OF 27N BETWEEN 50W AND 63W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LEE NEAR 34.5N 54.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LEE NEAR 40.2N 47.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LEE NEAR 46.9N 35.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
.

.CARIBBEAN S OF 15N BETWEEN 68W AND 72W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   S OF 15N BETWEEN 69W AND 74W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   S OF 13N BETWEEN 70W AND 73W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN
06 HOUR FORECAST...   S OF 18N W OF 85W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...   WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST...  ...   S OF 18N W OF 85W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...   WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.

FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

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